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Tennessee vs San Francisco

Sports · Kalshi · Called NO, verified LOSS · Jul 15, 2026
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Verified Outcome
LOSS
PillarLab called Tennessee will NOT win (NO @ 29%).
Result: Tennessee won. The call was wrong.
Analyzed: Jul 15, 2026, 3:04 PM UTC
Market resolved: Aug 14, 2026, 4:07 AM UTC
Called 709h before resolution. The call was made before the outcome was known.

https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnflgame/professional-football-game/kxnflgame-26aug13tensf

PillarLab
📡 Fetching Kalshi data...
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✅ Got data from Kalshi API!0.4s
PillarLab
🔍 Step 1: Detecting market type and category...
PillarLab
✅ Category: ⚽ SPORTS ✅ Type: BINARY 📊 Market: Tennessee vs San Francisco 📅 Date: 2024-08-13 💰 Volume: $213 Current Odds: • San Francisco: 75% • Tennessee: 29%1.6s
PillarLab
⏳ Step 2: Gathering intelligence (parallel)...
PillarLab
✅ Intelligence gathered: Vegas Lines · Injury Report · Team Stats · Reddit Sentiment · Candidate Dossiers (case for + case against, every candidate ≥2%)85.8s
PillarLab
🧠 Step 3: Deep Analysing across all 9 pillars — hang tight, ~20s...
PillarLab

📊 Market Summary

⚽ Tennessee vs San Francisco

Team/PlayerCurrent Odds
San Francisco75%
Tennessee29%

2 options total

PillarLab

🎯 Best Trade

  • Action: Tennessee — NO @ 29%

  • Confidence: 🟡 MEDIUM · Uncertainty: LOW

  • Why:

  • Roster ranked 28th by ESPN; rebuilding with an unstable offensive line and sophomore QB Cam Ward.
  • Must travel to San Francisco, losing home-field advantage.
  • Coaching transition (new DC and OC) introduces scheme uncertainty.
  • Even San Francisco's second- and third-string units boast superior depth and experience.
PillarLab

📈 Where the Market Stands

OptionMarketRead
San Francisco75%🟢 FAVORED
Tennessee29%🔴 TRAILING

I price with the market — 🟢 favored · 🔴 trailing. The analysis below is the why.

PillarLab

🔬 9-Pillar Analysis (Sharp Trading Method)

📊 1. Vegas Line

No Vegas line posted yet for this preseason game, but the market's 75% price on San Francisco reflects its massive roster advantage.

📈 2. Line Movement

No data on line movement; the market has settled at 75% San Francisco with no significant drift.

🏥 3. Injury Report

San Francisco's Christian McCaffrey (Achilles management) and George Kittle (Achilles recovery) are key health concerns, but both expected to play limited snaps; Tennessee reports no significant injuries.

📱 4. Reddit Sentiment

Reddit sentiment leans San Francisco but is cautious due to preseason variance; no overhype on either side.

🔢 5. Team Stats & Form

Tennessee is rebuilding, ranked 28th by ESPN in July 2026, with an unstable offensive line and sophomore QB Cam Ward; San Francisco's depth is elite.

🌤️ 6. Situational Factors

Tennessee travels to Levi's Stadium, giving San Francisco home-field advantage; preseason travel is a minor factor.

💰 7. Handle Split (Public vs Sharp)

Public money likely leans toward Tennessee as a preseason underdog, but sharp money keeps San Francisco at 75%.

⏰ 8. Time Decay

LOW - No immediate news; game is a month away, rosters are stable.

⚡ 9. Contrarian Check

Preseason volatility is the main contrarian risk—starters play few snaps, turning the game into a coin-flip among backups, which could upset the favorite.

PillarLab

⚠️ Disclaimer: AI can make mistakes. This is not financial advice. Do your own research before placing any trades.

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