Track Record
Every market PillarLab AI has called, verified against real Kalshi and Polymarket settlement data. Win or loss, no cherry-picking. Updated automatically as new calls settle.
Unique Markets
186
Win Rate
62.9%
Record
117-69
Return
111%
$1,000 → $2,110
across 186 trades at $100 each
across 186 trades at $100 each
Day by day, $1,000 start
$1,000 → $2,110
Date Trades Start End
▶ Aug 26 1 trade 1W - 0L $2,077 → $2,110
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad · YES Real Madrid 74% 74¢ 135 $99.90 $1.82 WIN +$33.28
▶ Aug 25 1 trade 1W - 0L $2,056 → $2,077
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
Atlanta vs Los Angeles · YES Atlanta 82% 82¢ 121 $99.22 $1.26 WIN +$20.52
▶ Aug 24 3 trades 2W - 1L $2,094 → $2,056
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
Pavlovic vs Varillas · YES Luka Pavlovic 72% 72¢ 138 $99.36 $1.95 WIN +$36.69
Prado Angelo vs Barrios Vera · NO Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 22% 78¢ 128 $99.84 $1.54 WIN +$26.62
Johnson vs Garin · NO Cristian Garin 27% 73¢ 136 $99.28 $1.88 LOSS $-101.16
▶ Aug 23 1 trade 0W - 1L $2,197 → $2,094
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 · YES Paris Saint-Germain FC 62.5% 62.5¢ 160 $100.00 $2.63 LOSS $-102.63
▶ Aug 22 4 trades 2W - 2L $2,276 → $2,197
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
New York vs Pittsburgh · YES PIT Steelers 49% 49¢ 204 $99.96 $3.57 LOSS $-103.53
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies · YES St. Louis Cardinals 33.5% 33.5¢ 298 $99.83 $4.65 LOSS $-104.48
Toronto vs New York Y · NO Toronto 33% 67¢ 149 $99.83 $2.31 WIN +$46.86
Carolina vs Jacksonville · YES CAR Panthers 54% 54¢ 185 $99.90 $3.22 WIN +$81.88
▶ Aug 21 8 trades 4W - 4L $2,159 → $2,276
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles · YES New York Yankees 51.5% 51.5¢ 194 $99.91 $3.40 WIN +$90.69
Washington vs Texas · NO Washington 61% 39¢ 256 $99.84 $4.27 WIN +$151.89
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers · YES Washington Nationals 38.5% 38.5¢ 259 $99.72 $4.30 LOSS $-104.01
Los Angeles A vs Houston · YES Houston 64% 64¢ 156 $99.84 $2.52 LOSS $-102.36
Gonzalez / Ho vs Kiger / Seggerman · YES Santiago Gonzalez / Ray Ho 40% 40¢ 250 $100.00 $4.20 WIN +$145.80
San Francisco vs Los Angeles · YES LA Chargers 53% 53¢ 188 $99.64 $3.28 LOSS $-102.92
Guerreros de Oaxaca vs Olmecas de Tabasco · YES Guerreros de Oaxaca 43% 43¢ 232 $99.76 $3.99 LOSS $-103.75
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs · YES Iron Wing 40.5% 40.5¢ 246 $99.63 $4.15 WIN +$142.22
▶ Aug 20 8 trades 5W - 3L $2,136 → $2,159
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies · YES Philadelphia Phillies 56.5% 56.5¢ 176 $99.44 $3.03 WIN +$73.53
Inter Turku vs Copenhagen · YES Copenhagen 66% 66¢ 151 $99.66 $2.38 LOSS $-102.04
Midtjylland vs Rijeka · YES Midtjylland 63% 63¢ 158 $99.54 $2.58 WIN +$55.88
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians · YES Cleveland Guardians 65.5% 65.5¢ 152 $99.56 $2.41 WIN +$50.03
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays · YES Tampa Bay Rays 60.5% 60.5¢ 165 $99.83 $2.77 LOSS $-102.59
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals · YES Kansas City Royals 56.5% 56.5¢ 176 $99.44 $3.03 WIN +$73.53
Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers · YES Milwaukee Brewers 55.5% 55.5¢ 180 $99.90 $3.12 WIN +$76.98
Paul vs Cobolli · YES Tommy Paul 60% 60¢ 166 $99.60 $2.79 LOSS $-102.39
▶ Aug 19 3 trades 0W - 3L $2,443 → $2,136
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
Bouzkova vs Jovic · YES Iva Jovic 64% 64¢ 156 $99.84 $2.52 LOSS $-102.36
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET · YES Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET 50.5% 50.5¢ 198 $99.99 $3.47 LOSS $-103.46
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 19? · NO 36°C 26% 74¢ 135 $99.90 $1.82 LOSS $-101.72
▶ Aug 17 3 trades 2W - 1L $2,381 → $2,443
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
Valentova vs Svitolina · YES Elina Svitolina 38% 38¢ 263 $99.94 $4.34 WIN +$158.72
Temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 17, 2026 at 12pm EDT? · YES 72° or above 39% 39¢ 256 $99.84 $4.27 LOSS $-104.11
Guillen Meza vs Marcondes · YES Igor Marcondes 92% 92¢ 108 $99.36 $0.56 WIN +$8.08
▶ Aug 16 3 trades 1W - 2L $2,548 → $2,381
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
UFC 330: Eric McConico vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Early Prelims) · NO Eric McConico 31% 69¢ 144 $99.36 $2.16 WIN +$42.48
330: Dern vs Robertson · YES Gillian Robertson 36% 36¢ 277 $99.72 $4.47 LOSS $-104.19
Highest temperature in Dallas on Aug 15, 2026? · YES 99° to 100° 16% 16¢ 625 $100.00 $5.89 LOSS $-105.89
▶ Aug 15 3 trades 2W - 1L $2,457 → $2,548
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
Portland vs Seattle · YES Portland 45% 45¢ 222 $99.90 $3.85 WIN +$118.25
Chepelev vs Haita · YES Andrey Chepelev 67% 67¢ 149 $99.83 $2.31 LOSS $-102.14
Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Aug 14, 2026? · YES 97° or above 56% 56¢ 178 $99.68 $3.08 WIN +$75.24
▶ Aug 14 1 trade 0W - 1L $2,558 → $2,457
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
Tennessee vs San Francisco · NO Tennessee 29% 71¢ 140 $99.40 $2.02 LOSS $-101.42
▶ Aug 12 4 trades 3W - 1L $2,369 → $2,558
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
Connecticut Democratic Governor nominee? · YES Ned Lamont 95% 95¢ 105 $99.75 $0.35 WIN +$4.90
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Quentin Halys vs Soon-Woo Kwon · YES Halys 30% 30¢ 333 $99.90 $4.90 WIN +$228.20
Chicago C vs Washington · YES Chicago C 62% 62¢ 161 $99.82 $2.66 WIN +$58.52
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Sebastian Ofner · YES Ofner 54.5% 54.5¢ 183 $99.74 $3.18 LOSS $-102.92
▶ Aug 11 2 trades 1W - 1L $2,394 → $2,369
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
Milwaukee vs San Diego · YES Milwaukee 52% 52¢ 192 $99.84 $3.36 LOSS $-103.20
Luz / Matos vs Andreozzi / Guinard · YES Orlando Luz / Rafael Matos 55% 55¢ 181 $99.55 $3.14 WIN +$78.31
▶ Aug 10 2 trades 2W - 0L $2,233 → $2,394
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
Daems vs Roura Llaverias · YES Ruth Roura Llaverias 55% 55¢ 181 $99.55 $3.14 WIN +$78.31
Todi: Maxim Mrva vs Pierluigi Basile · NO Basile 46.5% 53.5¢ 186 $99.51 $3.24 WIN +$83.25
▶ Aug 9 2 trades 0W - 2L $2,438 → $2,233
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 9? · YES 29°C 48.5% 48.5¢ 206 $99.91 $3.61 LOSS $-103.52
Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox · NO Athletics 37% 63¢ 158 $99.54 $2.58 LOSS $-102.12
▶ Aug 8 4 trades 3W - 1L $2,431 → $2,438
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · NO Arizona Diamondbacks 36.5% 63.5¢ 157 $99.70 $2.55 LOSS $-102.24
Nijmegen vs Telstar · YES Telstar 73% 73¢ 136 $99.28 $1.88 WIN +$34.84
Angers vs Lorient · YES Angers 89% 89¢ 112 $99.68 $0.77 WIN +$11.55
New England vs Houston · YES Houston 60% 60¢ 166 $99.60 $2.79 WIN +$63.61
▶ Aug 7 5 trades 2W - 3L $2,594 → $2,431
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
Hall of Fame Game: Carolina vs Arizona · YES Arizona 48% 48¢ 208 $99.84 $3.64 LOSS $-103.48
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET · YES Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET 50.5% 50.5¢ 198 $99.99 $3.47 LOSS $-103.46
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers · YES Kashima Antlers 48.5% 48.5¢ 206 $99.91 $3.61 WIN +$102.48
TSG Hawks vs. Chinatrust Brothers · NO Chinatrust Brothers 35.5% 64.5¢ 155 $99.98 $2.49 LOSS $-102.46
Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles · NO Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles 31.5% 68.5¢ 145 $99.33 $2.20 WIN +$43.47
▶ Aug 6 4 trades 2W - 2L $2,676 → $2,594
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
Yamanaka vs Petrov · YES Taiyo Yamanaka 60% 60¢ 166 $99.60 $2.79 WIN +$63.61
Los Angeles A vs Baltimore · YES Baltimore 66% 66¢ 151 $99.66 $2.38 LOSS $-102.04
PAOK vs Anderlecht · YES PAOK 58% 58¢ 172 $99.76 $2.94 LOSS $-102.70
FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC · YES FC Red Bull Salzburg 61.5% 61.5¢ 162 $99.63 $2.69 WIN +$59.68
▶ Aug 5 6 trades 2W - 4L $2,893 → $2,676
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
Los Angeles A vs Baltimore · NO Los Angeles A 59% 41¢ 243 $99.63 $4.12 WIN +$139.25
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies · YES Washington Nationals 26.5% 26.5¢ 377 $99.91 $5.15 LOSS $-105.05
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves · YES Miami Marlins 45.5% 45.5¢ 219 $99.65 $3.81 LOSS $-103.46
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies · YES Tampa Bay Rays 61.5% 61.5¢ 162 $99.63 $2.69 WIN +$59.68
San Diego vs Arizona · YES Arizona 6% 6¢ 1666 $99.96 $6.58 LOSS $-106.54
Ann vs Trongcharoenchaikul · YES Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul 69% 69¢ 144 $99.36 $2.16 LOSS $-101.52
▶ Aug 4 3 trades 1W - 2L $3,034 → $2,893
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies · YES Philadelphia Phillies 59.5% 59.5¢ 168 $99.96 $2.84 WIN +$65.20
Los Angeles D vs Chicago C · YES Los Angeles D 56% 56¢ 178 $99.68 $3.08 LOSS $-102.76
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs · NO Chicago Cubs 54.5% 45.5¢ 219 $99.65 $3.81 LOSS $-103.46
▶ Aug 3 3 trades 1W - 2L $3,114 → $3,034
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
Internacional vs Corinthians · YES Internacional 43% 43¢ 232 $99.76 $3.99 WIN +$128.25
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · YES Los Angeles Dodgers 61.5% 61.5¢ 162 $99.63 $2.69 LOSS $-102.32
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 31? · NO 27°C 86.5% 13.5¢ 740 $99.90 $6.05 LOSS $-105.95
▶ Aug 2 6 trades 6W - 0L $2,627 → $3,114
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
Milwaukee vs Los Angeles A · YES Milwaukee 59% 59¢ 169 $99.71 $2.87 WIN +$66.42
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels · YES Milwaukee Brewers 57.5% 57.5¢ 173 $99.48 $2.96 WIN +$70.57
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves · YES Atlanta Braves 52.5% 52.5¢ 190 $99.75 $3.32 WIN +$86.93
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds · YES Cincinnati Reds 58.5% 58.5¢ 170 $99.45 $2.89 WIN +$67.66
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros · YES Houston Astros 54.5% 54.5¢ 183 $99.74 $3.18 WIN +$80.08
Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics · NO Athletics 54.5% 45.5¢ 219 $99.65 $3.81 WIN +$115.54
▶ Aug 1 4 trades 1W - 3L $2,916 → $2,627
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
Highest temperature in NYC on July 31? · YES 82-83°F 12.5% 12.5¢ 800 $100.00 $6.13 LOSS $-106.13
Norrie vs Shapovalov · YES Denis Shapovalov 82% 82¢ 121 $99.22 $1.26 WIN +$20.52
Kopp vs Sorger · YES Sandro Kopp 69% 69¢ 144 $99.36 $2.16 LOSS $-101.52
Gangwon FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995 · YES Gangwon FC 63.5% 63.5¢ 157 $99.70 $2.55 LOSS $-102.24
▶ Jul 31 1 trade 1W - 0L $2,853 → $2,916
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
Washington vs Atlanta · YES Atlanta 60% 60¢ 166 $99.60 $2.79 WIN +$63.61
▶ Jul 30 1 trade 0W - 1L $2,955 → $2,853
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets · NO Atlanta Braves 38.5% 61.5¢ 162 $99.63 $2.69 LOSS $-102.32
▶ Jul 28 2 trades 2W - 0L $1,789 → $2,955
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels · YES Houston Astros 14.5% 14.5¢ 689 $99.90 $5.98 WIN +$583.12
Global Super League: San Francisco Unicorns vs Desert Vipers · NO San Francisco Unicorns 85.5% 14.5¢ 689 $99.90 $5.98 WIN +$583.12
▶ Jul 27 5 trades 4W - 1L $1,610 → $1,789
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
New York Y vs Philadelphia · NO New York Y 36% 64¢ 156 $99.84 $2.52 WIN +$53.64
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies · NO New York Yankees 34.5% 65.5¢ 152 $99.56 $2.41 WIN +$50.03
Hernandez vs Magadan · NO Alex Hernandez 40% 60¢ 166 $99.60 $2.79 LOSS $-102.39
Kos vs Sroka · NO Dorian Kos 25% 75¢ 133 $99.75 $1.75 WIN +$31.50
Hennemann vs Pohankova · YES Caijsa Wilda Hennemann 40% 40¢ 250 $100.00 $4.20 WIN +$145.80
▶ Jul 26 4 trades 4W - 0L $1,172 → $1,610
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 25, 2026? · YES 79° to 80° 46% 46¢ 217 $99.82 $3.78 WIN +$113.40
Chicago C vs Pittsburgh · NO Chicago C 45% 55¢ 181 $99.55 $3.14 WIN +$78.31
Kasatkina vs Smith · NO Alana Smith 24% 76¢ 131 $99.56 $1.68 WIN +$29.76
3M Open Winner · YES Jackson Koivun 31% 31¢ 322 $99.82 $4.83 WIN +$217.35
▶ Jul 25 2 trades 1W - 1L $1,172 → $1,172
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
New York Y vs Philadelphia · NO New York Y 45% 55¢ 181 $99.55 $3.14 LOSS $-102.69
CA Huracán vs. CA Banfield · YES CA Huracán 48.5% 48.5¢ 206 $99.91 $3.61 WIN +$102.48
▶ Jul 24 3 trades 1W - 2L $1,239 → $1,172
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 23? · YES 33°C 41.5% 41.5¢ 240 $99.60 $4.08 WIN +$136.32
Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC vs. Dundalk FC · YES Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC 67% 67¢ 149 $99.83 $2.31 LOSS $-102.14
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers · NO Colorado Rockies 30.5% 69.5¢ 143 $99.39 $2.13 LOSS $-101.51
▶ Jul 23 3 trades 2W - 1L $1,240 → $1,239
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
San Jose vs Orlando · YES San Jose 60% 60¢ 166 $99.60 $2.79 LOSS $-102.39
Dallas vs Portland · NO Portland 22% 78¢ 128 $99.84 $1.54 WIN +$26.62
Seidman vs Stephenson · NO Lev Seidman 44% 56¢ 178 $99.68 $3.08 WIN +$75.24
▶ Jul 22 8 trades 4W - 4L $1,448 → $1,240
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Yomiuri Giants · NO Hiroshima Toyo Carp 40% 60¢ 166 $99.60 $2.79 LOSS $-102.39
Waltert vs Sherif Ahmed Abdelaziz · NO Maiar Sherif Ahmed Abdelaziz 32% 68¢ 147 $99.96 $2.24 LOSS $-102.20
Brockmann vs Jacquemot · NO Tessa Johanna Brockmann 38% 62¢ 161 $99.82 $2.66 WIN +$58.52
Orix Buffaloes vs Fukuoka Hawks · YES Orix Buffaloes 36% 36¢ 277 $99.72 $4.47 LOSS $-104.19
Baltimore vs Boston: Game 1 · NO Baltimore 35% 65¢ 153 $99.45 $2.44 WIN +$51.11
Pittsburgh vs New York Y · NO Pittsburgh 41% 59¢ 169 $99.71 $2.87 LOSS $-102.58
Minnesota vs Seattle · NO Seattle 20% 80¢ 125 $100.00 $1.40 WIN +$23.60
Level UP vs. Zero Tenacity · NO Zero Tenacity 42% 58¢ 172 $99.76 $2.94 WIN +$69.30
▶ Jul 21 4 trades 3W - 1L $1,435 → $1,448
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
Blinkova vs Bejlek · NO Anna Blinkova 37% 63¢ 158 $99.54 $2.58 WIN +$55.88
Korpatsch vs Jimenez Kasintseva · NO Tamara Korpatsch 42% 58¢ 172 $99.76 $2.94 LOSS $-102.70
Top US Netflix Movie this week? · YES Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea 74% 74¢ 135 $99.90 $1.82 WIN +$33.28
Sun vs Rottgering · NO Fajing Sun 22% 78¢ 128 $99.84 $1.54 WIN +$26.62
▶ Jul 20 7 trades 6W - 1L $1,274 → $1,435
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
World Cup Winner · YES Spain 59.2% 59.2¢ 168 $99.46 $2.85 WIN +$65.69
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees · NO New York Yankees 43.5% 56.5¢ 176 $99.44 $3.03 LOSS $-102.47
Charoenphon vs Hirose · NO Yuya Hirose 16% 84¢ 119 $99.96 $1.12 WIN +$17.92
Shanmugam vs Da Costa · NO Abhinav Sanjeev Shanmugam 31% 69¢ 144 $99.36 $2.16 WIN +$42.48
Shokichi Iwata vs Erick Badillo · NO Erick Badillo 38% 62¢ 161 $99.82 $2.66 WIN +$58.52
Gribaldo vs Scomparin · NO Matteo Gribaldo 31% 69¢ 144 $99.36 $2.16 WIN +$42.48
Mazzola vs Spiteri · NO Alessandra Mazzola 28% 72¢ 138 $99.36 $1.95 WIN +$36.69
▶ Jul 19 6 trades 5W - 1L $1,186 → $1,274
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
Houston vs Memphis · NO Houston 36% 64¢ 156 $99.84 $2.52 WIN +$53.64
Saitama Seibu Lions vs Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles · NO Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles 39% 61¢ 163 $99.43 $2.72 WIN +$60.85
Kalshi Market · YES Yes 97% 97¢ 103 $99.91 $0.21 WIN +$2.88
Final: Spain vs Argentina · YES Spain 59% 59¢ 169 $99.71 $2.87 WIN +$66.42
Spain vs. Argentina · YES Spain 44.4% 44.4¢ 225 $99.90 $3.89 LOSS $-103.79
Which brands will advertise during the World Soccer Cup Final · YES Adidas 92% 92¢ 108 $99.36 $0.56 WIN +$8.08
▶ Jul 18 14 trades 6W - 8L $1,688 → $1,186
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
Nacional vs Wanderers · YES Nacional 60% 60¢ 166 $99.60 $2.79 LOSS $-102.39
Sacramento vs Charlotte · NO Charlotte 15% 85¢ 117 $99.45 $1.05 WIN +$16.50
Texas Rangers vs. Atlanta Braves · NO Texas Rangers 34.5% 65.5¢ 152 $99.56 $2.41 WIN +$50.03
Nashville vs Atlanta · YES Nashville 68% 68¢ 147 $99.96 $2.24 WIN +$44.80
British Columbia Lions vs Edmonton Elks · NO British Columbia Lions 37% 63¢ 158 $99.54 $2.58 WIN +$55.88
Kiwoom Heroes vs Hanwha Eagles · NO Kiwoom Heroes 35% 65¢ 153 $99.45 $2.44 LOSS $-101.89
FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla · YES Club Puebla 50.5% 50.5¢ 198 $99.99 $3.47 WIN +$94.54
Reasco Gonzalez vs Perez Alarcon · NO Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez 33% 67¢ 149 $99.83 $2.31 LOSS $-102.14
New York M vs Philadelphia · NO New York M 36% 64¢ 156 $99.84 $2.52 WIN +$53.64
AC Goianiense vs Athletic Club Sjdr · YES AC Goianiense 76% 76¢ 131 $99.56 $1.68 LOSS $-101.24
Bronze Final: France vs England · NO England 34% 66¢ 151 $99.66 $2.38 LOSS $-102.04
World Cup: Third-Place Finisher · YES France 63% 63¢ 158 $99.54 $2.58 LOSS $-102.12
France vs. England · YES France 51.5% 51.5¢ 194 $99.91 $3.40 LOSS $-103.31
Fight Night: Lebosnoyani vs Ko · NO Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 38% 62¢ 161 $99.82 $2.66 LOSS $-102.48
▶ Jul 17 4 trades 4W - 0L $1,528 → $1,688
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
Golden State vs New York · NO New York 29% 71¢ 140 $99.40 $2.02 WIN +$38.58
Diablos Rojos Del Mexico vs Tigres de Quintana Roo · NO Tigres de Quintana Roo 31% 69¢ 144 $99.36 $2.16 WIN +$42.48
Leones de Yucatan vs Guerreros de Oaxaca · NO Leones de Yucatan 28% 72¢ 138 $99.36 $1.95 WIN +$36.69
Highest temperature in San Antonio on Jul 16, 2026? · YES 87° to 88° 69% 69¢ 144 $99.36 $2.16 WIN +$42.48
▶ Jul 16 8 trades 5W - 3L $1,598 → $1,528
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
Milwaukee vs Charlotte · NO Milwaukee 34% 66¢ 151 $99.66 $2.38 LOSS $-102.04
Ferguson vs Sik · NO Mustafa Ege Sik 32% 68¢ 147 $99.96 $2.24 WIN +$44.80
Olmecas de Tabasco vs Piratas de Campeche · NO Piratas de Campeche 12% 88¢ 113 $99.44 $0.84 WIN +$12.72
Misa Esports vs. Entropy · NO Entropy 35% 65¢ 153 $99.45 $2.44 WIN +$51.11
Kia Tigers vs SSG Landers · NO SSG Landers 38% 62¢ 161 $99.82 $2.66 LOSS $-102.48
Paide vs Hegelmann Kaunas · NO Hegelmann Kaunas advances 33% 67¢ 149 $99.83 $2.31 WIN +$46.86
What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in July 2026? · YES ↑ $405 54.5% 54.5¢ 183 $99.74 $3.18 WIN +$80.08
Spartans vs Runavik · NO Runavik advances 30% 70¢ 142 $99.40 $2.09 LOSS $-101.49
▶ Jul 15 2 trades 2W - 0L $1,498 → $1,598
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
Rinderknech vs Tabur · NO Clement Tabur 33% 67¢ 149 $99.83 $2.31 WIN +$46.86
Orlando vs Philadelphia · NO Philadelphia 36% 64¢ 156 $99.84 $2.52 WIN +$53.64
▶ Jul 14 4 trades 4W - 0L $1,394 → $1,498
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
Phoenix vs Minnesota · NO Phoenix 16% 84¢ 119 $99.96 $1.12 WIN +$17.92
Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Moise Kouame · NO Kouame 32% 68¢ 147 $99.96 $2.24 WIN +$44.80
ITF Wuning: James Van Herzeele vs Shixun Zhu · NO Zhu 21.5% 78.5¢ 127 $99.70 $1.51 WIN +$25.79
Larne FC vs. Tre Fiori FC · YES Larne FC 85.5% 85.5¢ 116 $99.18 $1.01 WIN +$15.81
▶ Jul 13 1 trade 1W - 0L $1,353 → $1,394
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
Croatia Open: Vit Kopriva vs Dino Prizmic · NO Kopriva 30% 70¢ 142 $99.40 $2.09 WIN +$40.51
▶ Jul 12 7 trades 5W - 2L $1,374 → $1,353
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
329: Royval vs Kavanagh · NO Brandon Royval 32% 68¢ 147 $99.96 $2.24 LOSS $-102.20
Argentina vs Switzerland · NO Switzerland advances 28% 72¢ 138 $99.36 $1.95 WIN +$36.69
McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · NO Conor McGregor 30% 70¢ 142 $99.40 $2.09 WIN +$40.51
Argentina vs. Switzerland · YES Argentina 75.9% 75.9¢ 131 $99.43 $1.68 LOSS $-101.11
SK Brann vs. IK Start · YES SK Brann 66.5% 66.5¢ 150 $99.75 $2.34 WIN +$47.91
Saada vs Tabunshchyk · NO Anissa Saada 11% 89¢ 112 $99.68 $0.77 WIN +$11.55
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · NO Los Angeles Dodgers 32.5% 67.5¢ 148 $99.90 $2.28 WIN +$45.82
▶ Jul 11 4 trades 3W - 1L $1,325 → $1,374
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
Leones vs Uni Catolica · YES Leones 60% 60¢ 166 $99.60 $2.79 WIN +$63.61
Golden State vs Connecticut · NO Connecticut 26% 74¢ 135 $99.90 $1.82 WIN +$33.28
Arizona vs Los Angeles D · NO Arizona 30% 70¢ 142 $99.40 $2.09 LOSS $-101.49
Norway vs England · NO Norway advances 36% 64¢ 156 $99.84 $2.52 WIN +$53.64
▶ Jul 10 5 trades 5W - 0L $1,070 → $1,325
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants · NO Colorado Rockies 33.5% 66.5¢ 150 $99.75 $2.34 WIN +$47.91
Newport: Jacob Fearnley vs Stefan Kozlov · NO Stefan Kozlov 30.5% 69.5¢ 143 $99.39 $2.13 WIN +$41.49
Mandatory vs. Barça eSports · NO Barça eSports 42% 58¢ 172 $99.76 $2.94 WIN +$69.30
Spain vs Belgium · NO Belgium advances 27% 73¢ 136 $99.28 $1.88 WIN +$34.84
Spain vs. Belgium · YES Spain 60.9% 60.9¢ 164 $99.88 $2.74 WIN +$61.38
▶ Jul 9 3 trades 3W - 0L $937 → $1,070
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
Colorado vs Los Angeles D · NO Colorado 32% 68¢ 147 $99.96 $2.24 WIN +$44.80
France vs Morocco · NO Morocco advances 23% 77¢ 129 $99.33 $1.60 WIN +$28.07
France vs. Morocco · YES France 61.5% 61.5¢ 162 $99.63 $2.69 WIN +$59.68
▶ Jul 8 4 trades 2W - 2L $1,000 → $937
Market / Side Odds Contract Contracts Cost Fee Result P&L
Dallas vs New York · NO Dallas 38% 62¢ 161 $99.82 $2.66 LOSS $-102.48
Arizona vs San Diego · YES San Diego 53% 53¢ 188 $99.64 $3.28 WIN +$85.08
Ma vs Abanda · NO Francoise Abanda 59% 41¢ 243 $99.63 $4.12 LOSS $-103.75
Toronto vs San Francisco · NO San Francisco 38% 62¢ 161 $99.82 $2.66 WIN +$58.52
Page 1 of 2 · 47 days
Newest day first. Click a day to see each trade's full contract math. Odds is the called candidate's market price; Contract is what the position actually costs — a NO against a 32% underdog costs ~68¢ (100 − 32), so a win pays roughly +47%, not a multiple. Each trade stakes the same $100; each day starts where the previous day ended. A backtest on real resolved outcomes, net of fees — not a forward guarantee.
Scope: Sports markets on Kalshi and Polymarket, where every contract has a clean, verifiable settlement. HOLD calls aren't graded here. A HOLD means PillarLab AI didn't see enough edge to call it, and avoiding a bad call is the win. Being right matters more than being decisive. This page exists so you can check PillarLab AI's judgment against real outcomes, not to talk you into betting bigger.
Result Market Call Date
WIN 
Kalshi SPORTS Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad verified by 3 independent analyses YES · Real Madrid @ 74% Aug 26, 2026 View → WIN Kalshi SPORTS Atlanta vs Los Angeles YES · Atlanta @ 82% Aug 25, 2026 View → LOSS Kalshi SPORTS Johnson vs Garin NO · Cristian Garin @ 27% Aug 24, 2026 View → WIN Kalshi SPORTS Prado Angelo vs Barrios Vera NO · Juan Carlos Prado Angelo @ 22% Aug 24, 2026 View → WIN Kalshi SPORTS Pavlovic vs Varillas YES · Luka Pavlovic @ 72% Aug 24, 2026 View → LOSS Polymarket SPORTS Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 YES · Paris Saint-Germain FC @ 62.5% Aug 23, 2026 View → WIN Kalshi SPORTS Carolina vs Jacksonville YES · CAR Panthers @ 54% Aug 22, 2026 View → WIN Kalshi SPORTS Toronto vs New York Y verified by 5 independent analyses NO · Toronto @ 33% Aug 22, 2026 View → LOSS Polymarket SPORTS St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies YES · St. Louis Cardinals @ 33.5% Aug 22, 2026 View → LOSS Kalshi SPORTS New York vs Pittsburgh YES · PIT Steelers @ 49% Aug 22, 2026 View → WIN Polymarket SPORTS Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs YES · Iron Wing @ 40.5% Aug 21, 2026 View → LOSS Kalshi SPORTS Guerreros de Oaxaca vs Olmecas de Tabasco YES · Guerreros de Oaxaca @ 43% Aug 21, 2026 View → LOSS Kalshi SPORTS San Francisco vs Los Angeles YES · LA Chargers @ 53% Aug 21, 2026 View → WIN Kalshi SPORTS Gonzalez / Ho vs Kiger / Seggerman YES · Santiago Gonzalez / Ray Ho @ 40% Aug 21, 2026 View → LOSS Kalshi SPORTS Los Angeles A vs Houston YES · Houston @ 64% Aug 21, 2026 View → LOSS Polymarket SPORTS Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers verified by 2 independent analyses YES · Washington Nationals @ 38.5% Aug 21, 2026 View → WIN Kalshi SPORTS Washington vs Texas NO · Washington @ 61% Aug 21, 2026 View → WIN Polymarket SPORTS New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles YES · New York Yankees @ 51.5% Aug 21, 2026 View → LOSS Kalshi SPORTS Paul vs Cobolli YES · Tommy Paul @ 60% Aug 20, 2026 View → WIN Polymarket SPORTS Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers YES · Milwaukee Brewers @ 55.5% Aug 20, 2026 View → Stop guessing. See the edge.
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PillarLab AI is an AI prediction-market analyzer that runs a 9-pillar analysis on Kalshi and Polymarket markets and publishes a public, settlement-verified track record of its decisive calls.