St. Louis vs Los Angeles D
https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlbgame/st-louis-vs-los-angeles-d/KXMLBGAME-26SEP022210STLLAD?utm_source=kalshiapp_eventdetails
PillarLabPillarLabPillarLabPillarLabPillarLabPillarLabPillarLabPillarLab📊 Market Summary
⚽ St. Louis vs Los Angeles D
| Team/Player | Current Odds |
|---|---|
| Los Angeles D | 70% |
| St. Louis | 31% |
2 options total
PillarLab🎯 Best Trade
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Action: Los Angeles D — YES @ 70%
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Confidence: 🟡 MEDIUM · Uncertainty: LOW
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Why: 25 sharp books price Los Angeles D between 67 and 69 (Pinnacle 69, DraftKings 69, FanDuel 69, BetMGM 67, Caesars (WH) 70, Betfair 69, BetRivers 69, Bovada 69, Marathonbet 68, Unibet FR 68, Unibet NL 69, Unibet SE 69, 888sport 68, Fanatics 68, Betclic 68, Betsson 68, Coolbet 68, LeoVegas 68, Matchbook 69, MyBookie 69, NordicBet 68, 1xBet 68, Tipico 69, Winamax 68, Winamax FR 67). Consensus, vig removed: 68.2%. The market has Los Angeles D at 70%. That is the fair price. No discount, but the side is clear.
Line move since our first snapshot: Los Angeles D 66% to 68.2%. Money moved toward Los Angeles D.
- Why St. Louis is priced where it is (31%):
- St. Louis has a worse overall record (18-13) and a losing home record (7-8).
- Their scheduled starter Michael McGreevy is 5-9 with a 3.86 ERA, and they are using a bullpen game on Sept. 2, which risks pitching instability.
- Their bullpen has a 4.22 ERA over the past 7 days, significantly worse than the Dodgers' 1.57.
📐 What would change this call: if the market drops Los Angeles D 5+ points under the books it becomes a HIGH-confidence discount. If the top books split by more than 5 points, or a starter is scratched, it goes to HOLD.
PillarLab🏦 What the Books Say
Percent is the number the call runs on. American odds in parentheses are the same price, shown the way a sportsbook shows it.
| Book | Los Angeles D | St. Louis |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 68.9% (-238) | 31.1% (+214) |
| DraftKings | 68.9% (-258) | 31.1% (+208) |
| FanDuel | 68.5% (-250) | 31.5% (+205) |
| BetMGM | 67.4% (-235) | 32.6% (+195) |
| Caesars (WH) | 69.6% (-250) | 30.4% (+220) |
| Betfair | 69% (-227) | 31% (+220) |
| BetRivers | 68.5% (-250) | 31.5% (+205) |
| Bovada | 68.5% (-250) | 31.5% (+205) |
| Marathonbet | 67.8% (-250) | 32.2% (+195) |
| Unibet FR | 67.5% (-270) | 32.5% (+185) |
| Unibet NL | 68.5% (-250) | 31.5% (+205) |
| Unibet SE | 68.5% (-250) | 31.5% (+205) |
| 888sport | 67.8% (-250) | 32.2% (+195) |
| Fanatics | 68.1% (-245) | 31.9% (+200) |
| Betclic | 68% (-256) | 32% (+195) |
| Betsson | 67.8% (-250) | 32.2% (+195) |
| Coolbet | 68.2% (-250) | 31.8% (+200) |
| LeoVegas | 68.2% (-250) | 31.8% (+200) |
| Matchbook | 69% (-227) | 31% (+220) |
| MyBookie | 69% (-255) | 31% (+210) |
| NordicBet | 67.8% (-250) | 32.2% (+195) |
| 1xBet | 67.9% (-226) | 32.1% (+205) |
| Tipico | 68.6% (-270) | 31.4% (+200) |
| Winamax | 67.8% (-250) | 32.2% (+195) |
| Winamax FR | 67.1% (-270) | 32.9% (+180) |
| Consensus, vig removed | 68.2% | 31.8% |
25 sportsbooks priced this game. Spread across the top 25 on Los Angeles D: 1.6 pts (books agree). Best price: Los Angeles D -226 at 1xBet · St. Louis +220 at Caesars (WH).
PillarLab📈 Where the Market Stands
| Option | Market | Book Consensus | Gap | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles D | 70% | 68.2% | +1.8 pts | ⚪ FAIR PRICE |
| St. Louis | 31% | 31.8% | -0.8 pts | ⚪ FAIR PRICE |
Gap is market minus book consensus. Negative means the market is cheaper than the books, that is the discount we look for. 5 or more points cheaper is where the edge lives. 5 or more points over is overpaying.
PillarLab🔬 9-Pillar Analysis (Sharp Trading Method)
🏦 1. Book Consensus
Consensus of 25 sportsbooks, vig removed: Los Angeles D 68.2%, St. Louis 31.8%. Pinnacle: Los Angeles D 68.9%, St. Louis 31.1%. Spread across the top books on Los Angeles D: 1.6 pts (books agree).
📈 2. Form & Head-to-Head
St. Louis won the most recent meeting 13-8 on Sept. 1, 2026, but Los Angeles won the prior matchup 4-1 on May 3, 2026.
🏥 3. Injury Report
No specific injuries or suspensions are named for either team; one result implies the Dodgers have more injury issues, but no players are listed.
🧾 4. Starters & Lineups
No announced starting lineups for this game are provided in the intelligence.
📰 5. Recent News (48h)
Nothing material in the last 48 hours beyond the Sept. 1 result and the Dodgers' bullpen-game plan for Sept. 2.
🌤️ 6. Situational Factors
Los Angeles is on the road; St. Louis is at home, with the Cardinals holding a 7-8 home record and the Dodgers an 8-5 road record.
🔀 7. Line Movement
Since our first snapshot (2026-09-02 02:05 UTC): Los Angeles D 66% to 68.2%, St. Louis 34% to 31.8%. Money moved toward Los Angeles D.
🕒 8. What the Books May Not Have Priced
LOW - No late scratches or starter changes dated after the last line move are present in the intelligence.
⚡ 9. Why the Other Side Is Priced Where It Is
St. Louis sits at 31% because they are the weaker overall team (18-13 vs 20-11), have a worse home record (7-8) than the Dodgers' road record (8-5), and their scheduled starter Michael McGreevy is 5-9 with a 3.86 ERA, while the Dodgers' bullpen has been strong recently (1.57 ERA over the past 7 days vs St. Louis's 4.22).
PillarLab⚠️ Disclaimer: AI can make mistakes. This is not financial advice. Do your own research before placing any trades.
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