Blog

Expert analysis, strategies, and insights for Kalshi & Polymarket prediction markets.

Minimum Trade Size on Polymarket

news

Minimum Trade Size on Polymarket

Polymarket's minimum trade size is share-based, not a fixed dollar amount — which changes how you size positions, hedge across Kalshi, and evaluate whether a marginal edge actually clears execution co

Mar 4, 2026

MLB Event Contracts

sports

MLB Event Contracts

MLB event contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket trade nothing like a sportsbook line — continuous repricing, thin in-game liquidity, and no vig mean pitching matchups and bullpen workload create real, tr

Mar 4, 2026

Modeling Attention & Virality in Prediction Markets

prediction-markets

Modeling Attention & Virality in Prediction Markets

Attention and virality move prediction-market prices before order flow does. Here's how to model virality curves, filter sentiment noise, and build a repeatable framework for trading Kalshi and Polyma

Mar 4, 2026

Momentum vs Mean Reversion in Prediction Markets

prediction-markets

Momentum vs Mean Reversion in Prediction Markets

Momentum and mean-reversion behave differently in bounded, resolution-dated prediction market contracts than in equities. Here's a quant framework for telling the two regimes apart on Kalshi and Polym

Mar 4, 2026

NBA Playoffs & Finals Event Contracts

sports

NBA Playoffs & Finals Event Contracts

A precise, trader-focused guide to trading NBA playoffs and Finals event contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket, covering series-contract structure, injury signal reading, platform liquidity differences,

Mar 4, 2026

NBA Prediction Markets Guide

sports

NBA Prediction Markets Guide

A precise, trader-focused guide to NBA prediction markets on Kalshi and Polymarket — contract structure, key data signals, futures trading, cross-platform liquidity, and how a 9-pillar analysis framew

Mar 4, 2026

NFL Prediction Markets Guide

sports

NFL Prediction Markets Guide

A precise guide to trading NFL contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket — contract mechanics, line-reading, key signals, futures strategy, and how PillarLab AI's 9-pillar framework systematizes weekly analy

Mar 4, 2026

NLP for News Sentiment Analysis

prediction-markets

NLP for News Sentiment Analysis

A precise breakdown of how NLP-driven news sentiment analysis actually works for Kalshi and Polymarket trading — sentiment velocity vs. level, why keyword models fail, and how to cross-reference senti

Mar 4, 2026

No-Code AI Bots for Kalshi Macro Trading

prediction-markets

No-Code AI Bots for Kalshi Macro Trading

A precise, no-fluff breakdown of how no-code AI tools and automation platforms can be used to trade Kalshi macro contracts — CPI, Fed decisions, jobs reports — and where structured analysis like Pilla

Mar 4, 2026

Nonfarm Payrolls & Unemployment Contracts

finance

Nonfarm Payrolls & Unemployment Contracts

A pro-trader breakdown of how nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate contracts actually move on Kalshi and Polymarket — consensus drift, revision effects, cross-platform liquidity gaps, and how Pillar

Mar 4, 2026

Olympics 2028 Early Markets Guide

sports

Olympics 2028 Early Markets Guide

Olympics 2028 markets on Kalshi and Polymarket are already live, thin on volume, and mispriced against stale Paris 2024 baselines. Here's how to read early medal-count and qualifier contracts, spot ho

Mar 4, 2026

Open Source vs Paid Analytics Tools

prediction-markets

Open Source vs Paid Analytics Tools

A precise comparison of open-source scrapers versus paid analytics platforms for Kalshi and Polymarket trading — covering maintenance drift, model depth, total cost of ownership, and where structured

Mar 4, 2026