Blog
Expert analysis, strategies, and insights for Kalshi & Polymarket prediction markets.
Crypto Regulation Event Contracts
Crypto Regulation Event Contracts
Crypto regulation event contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket move on legal filings and legislative calendars, not scoreboards. Here's how to read settlement mechanics, price legislative risk, and use Pi
Mar 4, 2026 Data Pipelines for Prediction Markets
Data Pipelines for Prediction Markets
A breakdown of the data pipeline infrastructure serious Kalshi and Polymarket traders need — ingestion, normalization, latency, and backtesting — and how PillarLab AI's 9-pillar analysis replaces the
Mar 4, 2026 Debate Impact on Election Odds
Debate Impact on Election Odds
Debate nights create some of the fastest, most mispriced volatility in political prediction markets. Here's how to separate real odds shifts from overreaction on Kalshi and Polymarket — and how a 9-pi
Mar 4, 2026 Deep Learning for Event Prediction
Deep Learning for Event Prediction
How deep learning models actually process Kalshi and Polymarket data, where they fail on novel events, and how PillarLab AI's 9-pillar framework turns opaque probability scores into transparent, actio
Mar 4, 2026 DeFi Regulation Markets
DeFi Regulation Markets
DeFi regulation markets on Kalshi and Polymarket reward traders who track agency process over news sentiment. Here's how to read resolution criteria, map correlated contracts, and calibrate implied od
Mar 4, 2026 Detecting Insider Flow in Event Markets
Detecting Insider Flow in Event Markets
A trader's guide to spotting insider flow in Kalshi and Polymarket event markets using volume anomalies, timing signals, and cross-platform divergence.
Mar 4, 2026 Difference Between Trading and Event Contracts
Difference Between Trading and Event Contracts
Trading and event contracts look similar but price risk in fundamentally different ways. Here's how settlement, liquidity, and probability pricing differ on Kalshi and Polymarket — and how a 9-pillar
Mar 4, 2026 Ethereum ETF Approval Markets
Ethereum ETF Approval Markets
A precise breakdown of how Ethereum ETF approval markets are structured on Kalshi and Polymarket, the regulatory catalysts that move prices, and how PillarLab AI's 9-pillar framework surfaces misprici
Mar 4, 2026 Evaluating AI Trading Performance
Evaluating AI Trading Performance
Win rate alone is a misleading way to judge AI trading tools on Kalshi and Polymarket. Learn how to evaluate calibration, sample size, and edge capture — and why structured multi-pillar analysis beats
Mar 4, 2026 Evaluating Polymarket Bot Performance Metrics
Evaluating Polymarket Bot Performance Metrics
A precise breakdown of the metrics that actually separate a profitable Polymarket trading bot from one riding variance — win rate calibration, risk-adjusted returns, execution slippage, fee drag, and
Mar 4, 2026 Event Trading vs Futures Trading
Event Trading vs Futures Trading
Event contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket settle binary outcomes with capped risk, while futures give continuous, leveraged exposure that can be rolled indefinitely. Here's how the risk profiles, time
Mar 4, 2026 Exporting Market Data to Excel
Exporting Market Data to Excel
A precise guide to exporting Kalshi and Polymarket data into Excel — from CSV downloads and API automation to the formulas and formatting traps that break calibration tracking, plus where PillarLab AI
Mar 4, 2026